Global Trade Policy 2025, tariffs, trumponomics

Trade, Tariffs & Trumponomics

As President Donald Trump enters his second term, trade has become a central pillar of his foreign policy. CFR experts provide timely analysis on the trade-offs and costs involved as they explore the ripple effects on U.S. relations with allies and competitors alike and broader impact on the global economic system.

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Framing The Debate

In Focus

Trump's original ninety-day delay of his "Liberation Day" levies, which would be the largest U.S. tariff increase in nearly a century, expires on July 8.

What Trump Trade Policy Has Achieved Since ‘Liberation Day’

Ten CFR experts break down what the president's trade agenda has accomplished since he placed a ninety-day pause on his expansive “Liberation Day” tariffs.

Can the President Actually Do That?

Ways the President Can Raise Tariffs

Authority Key Powers
Tariff Act of 1930 (Smoot-Hawley Tariff)
19 U.S.C. § 1338
Grants president authority to raise tariffs up to 50 percent of the product’s value after the U.S. International Trade Commission makes a finding that a foreign country has discriminated against U.S. commerce.
Trade Expansion Act of 1962 - Section 232 
19 U.S.C. § 1862
Permits the president to modify imports through tariffs or quotas where there is an identified threat to national security resulting from an investigation pursued by the Department of Commerce.
Trade Act of 1974 – Section 122
19 U.S.C. § 2132
Permits the president to impose tariffs of up to 15 percent for 150 days (unless extended by Congress) on the basis of “large and serious” U.S. balance of payments deficits.
Trade Act of 1974 – 201 Safeguards
19 U.S.C. § 2251
Authorizes the president to impose tariffs or take certain other actions if the International Trade Commission finds that a surge in imports is a “substantial cause of serious injury” to a U.S. domestic industry.
Trade Act of 1974 – Section 301
19 U.S.C. § 2411
Allows USTR, under the president’s authority, to investigate and take action against unfair foreign trade practices.
International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA)
50 U.S.C. § 1338 1701 et seq
Allows the president to regulate imports in response to an “unusual and extraordinary threat, which has its source in whole or substantial part outside of the United States, to the national security, foreign policy, or economy of the United States.”

Our Trade Experts

Edward Alden

Senior Fellow

Heidi Crebo-Rediker
Heidi Crebo-Rediker

Senior Fellow

Michael Froman
Michael Froman

President, Council on Foreign Relations

Matt Goodman CFR pic
Matthew P. Goodman

Distinguished Fellow, Director of the Greenberg Center for Geoeconomic Studies, and Director of the CFR RealEcon Initiative

Jennifer Hillman Headshot
Jennifer Hillman

Senior Fellow for Trade and International Political Economy

Jonathan Hillman Headshot
Jonathan E. Hillman

Senior Fellow for Geoeconomics

Zoe Liu Headshot
Zongyuan Zoe Liu

Maurice R. Greenberg Senior Fellow for China Studies

Inu Manak

Fellow for Trade Policy

Headshot of Shannon Oneil
Shannon K. O'Neil

Senior Vice President, Director of Studies, and Maurice R. Greenberg Chair

Rebecca Patterson Headshot
Rebecca Patterson

Senior Fellow

Brad Setser
Brad W. Setser

Whitney Shepardson Senior Fellow

Benn Steil
Benn Steil

Senior Fellow and Director of International Economics

Tariffs Calendar

 View the full calendar

Visualizing Trade

American Impact

Inflation Comes Home to Roost With the Help of Trump’s Tariffs

Stagflation is an increasingly likely probability as tariff costs are passed onto consumers.

A family shops in a Walmart Supercenter on May 15, 2025 in Austin, Texas. Brandon Bell/Getty Images

Explaining Trade

USPres George Bush and Fernando Collor de Mello of Brazil watch as Trade Reps. Carla Hills of the US and Paraguayan Forgn Minister Alexis Fruto, Argetine FM F Guido di Tella, Brazil's FM Hector Gros, and Uruguayan FM Francisco Rezek sign trade agreement.

Trade Agreements, Explained

Trade agreements establish shared foundational rules for countries to govern their economic interactions. Though offering significant economic benefits, the United States maintains fewer comprehensive trade agreements than other large economies and is increasingly turning toward nonbinding economic frameworks with other countries, risking continued influence in the global trading system.

The Latest Trade News and Analysis

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